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Coventry City: Are Championship leaders suffering a blip or blowout?


Coventry’s start kept the statisticians busy.

At various points, they had the most goals across Europe’s top five leagues, an unmatched goal difference and the best goal-per-game ratio in the second tier for a century.

They were the first team for more than 50 years to score 50 goals after 18 games and their current tally – 62 – is still the best in England’s top four divisions by nine.

Their lead to second-placed Middlesbrough may be now only three points but the eight-point gap to the play-off places is reassuring as automatic promotion still looks well within their reach.

Opta’s supercomputer still thinks so too.

Eight weeks ago, Coventry had a predicted 90.5% chance of becoming champions and a 96.8% of a top-two finish.

Now, those numbers are down to 62.4% and 85.3% respectively. Quite a drop, but still very healthy.

But is there cause for concern in the shorter-term trend?

After scoring 50 and conceded only 18 in their first 18 fixtures, only 12 have been bagged in the past 11 and 15 let in.

In the past six away trips in the Championship, the Sky Blues have scored six, conceded 11 and not kept a clean sheet. They have taken three points from 18.

Added to that, fit-again top-scorer Brandon Thomas-Asante is yet to rediscover the form that brought him 10 goals in 13 games.

Haji Wright’s goals against Leicester and Millwall in successive home matches this month were also his first since October.

Although Coventry remain the top scorers away from home, they also have the joint-leakiest defence in the top half.


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